Liquidity & Structure: This Week’s High-Probability Setups Across Global Markets

At Value Flow Trading, our Market Colour session delivered a comprehensive multi-asset breakdown across currency pairs, precious metals, synthetic indices, and US equities, with a strong emphasis on market structure, liquidity sweeps, fair value gaps, order blocks, premium and discount zones, displacement, confluence, retracements, and confirmation-based entries.

We began with gold and the yen-correlated pairs, applying Smart Money Concepts to identify institutional footprints within current price action. Gold continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, supported by sustained displacement and recurring liquidity grabs. Our bias remains that gold could extend toward the 5,250 region before any meaningful higher-timeframe reversal occurs. However, entries must only be taken after retracement into a refined discount zone, ideally aligning with a mitigated order block or filled fair value gap for added confluence. On the yen basket, we observed retracement behavior consistent with engineered liquidity before continuation moves. GBPJPY and EURJPY were highlighted for potential retrace-then-expand setups, with traders advised to wait for a clear break of structure, liquidity sweep confirmation, and lower timeframe displacement before execution. Patience remains critical to avoid unnecessary drawdown.

Cynthia provided a detailed breakdown of DXY, EURUSD, and GBPUSD, focusing on structural transitions and premium versus discount pricing. DXY showed potential buy continuation if price sustains above 97.692 following liquidity clearance, but this remains conditional upon confirmation rather than anticipation. For EURUSD and GBPUSD, both pairs displayed retracement characteristics into premium zones, presenting potential sell opportunities once mitigation of internal fair value gaps and supply rejection is confirmed. With reduced liquidity conditions around the bank holiday, traders were encouraged to set alerts at refined points of interest instead of executing impulsive pending orders.

Lekan then analyzed synthetic indices, highlighting how price respected higher timeframe points of interest before pulling back into imbalance zones. We identified higher timeframe liquidity pools and inducement structures forming ahead of potential continuation. Lower timeframe refinement on M15 and M30 offered precise entries, but again, displacement confirmation remains the filter for execution.

Demola provided structural insights on NASDAQ 100, S&P 500, and US30. While the broader daily trend remains bullish, internal retracements are forming, creating both opportunity and risk. NASDAQ and S&P 500 continue to respect higher timeframe bullish structure, with refined fair value gaps offering discount buying zones. US30, however, showed early signs of liquidity engineering that could precede short-term retracement before continuation. Precision entries were emphasized from lower timeframes after a confirmed break of structure.

Abigail concluded with commodity currencies AUDUSD, NZDUSD, and USDCAD. AUDUSD showed temporary sell pressure consistent with liquidity engineering before potential continuation. NZDUSD displayed mixed structural behavior, requiring confirmation before directional conviction. USDCAD presented temporary downside potential before mitigation into refined demand zones. Across all commodity currencies, we emphasized aligning technical structure with upcoming high-impact news catalysts and trading only after clear mitigation and confirmation.

Throughout the Market Colour session, we reinforced institutional principles that guide our execution:

Trade from premium and discount zones
Wait for displacement and break of structure
Respect liquidity sweeps and inducement
Enter only after confirmation
Prioritize disciplined risk management
Avoid emotional execution

The Market Colour recap reinforced one consistent principle: the market rewards patience, structure, and confluence not prediction.

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