At Value Flow Trading, we kicked off the September 2025 trading week with an in-depth market collaboration session focused on commodity currencies and broader market dynamics. The discussion centered on USDCAD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD, where we reviewed key support and resistance levels, price action, and potential setups across multiple timeframes.
USDCAD delivered as expected, moving 50 pips from our previous analysis, while AUDUSD and NZDUSD continue to test crucial levels that could either confirm short-term buying opportunities or signal further downside. In particular, AUDUSD is hovering around the 0.6490 support level, while NZDUSD is showing potential for a temporary buy into the 0.5890 zone before the bearish trend resumes. For USDCAD, we identified signs of retracement that could lead to one final upward push, provided key support holds.
Beyond FX, our attention turned to economic indicators, particularly the ISM Manufacturing PMI release, which is expected to significantly impact USD trends and commodity currencies later today. We also reviewed US stock market indices, with opportunities spotted on US30 for selling from identified breakout blocks with take-profit ratios of 1:4 and 1:6. For US100 and S&P500, we emphasized risk management by splitting entries first at the higher zone and then re-entering at the lower zone if stopped out.
Our strategies emphasized patience waiting for price confirmation before committing to trades and aligning directional bias with validated areas of interest. From commodity currencies to indices, the focus remains on identifying high-probability setups while managing risk across multiple scenarios.
We closed the session with actionable next steps:
- Monitor AUD/USD for confirmation at 0.6490.
- Track NZD/USD for temporary buying into 0.5890 before reassessing bearish continuation.
- Watch USD/CAD for retracement opportunities.
- Stay alert for ISM Manufacturing PMI news at 3 PM.
- Explore selling opportunities on US30, while managing split entries on US100 and S&P500.
- Reconvene at 2 PM New York session to reassess developments and refine strategies.
As September unfolds, our outlook emphasizes being proactive but disciplined—leveraging technical precision while remaining adaptive to economic catalysts. This approach gives us the trading edge we need to navigate the new month confidently.