Welcome to the July 9th edition of Market Colour LIVE, where we covered critical trade setups across commodity currencies and Wall Street indices. This session, led by Sabi Abi and Demola Global, brought practical breakdowns for intraday and swing traders in the forex and US equity markets. If you missed the live call, here’s a detailed summary of the key insights and setups.
Part 1: Commodity Currencies – Sabi Abi
Pairs covered: AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD
Approach: Multi-timeframe analysis using VFT proprietary indicators, price structure, and break-of-structure (BoS) logic.
AUD/USD – Wait for Confirmation Before Picking a Side
On the H4, AUD/USD has been on a steady uptrend, but the appearance of the “Sunshine” indicator suggests recent profit-taking.
Price is now retracing into key zones. Abi emphasized that it’s a 50/50 scenario until a clearer structure emerges.
The M5 timeframe will be crucial for a valid break of structure (BoS) to decide whether to short or resume the buy.
NZD/USD – Mirroring AUD/USD Setup
Since January 31st, NZD/USD has been bullish. A similar sunshine/profit-taking pattern just occurred.
Abi identified two Points of Interest (POIs) on the H1 chart—traders should look for confirmation entries before shorting.
No valid short setup? Then expect the rally to continue upward, especially with continued structure breaks to the upside.
USD/CAD – Cleanest Setup of the Day
USD/CAD is already showing a clean sell structure on both H4 and M5.
Abi identified entry zones, and a target at 1.36148 with less than 30 pips SL and a 40-45 pips TP, giving a 1:1.5 risk-reward.
Not the ideal RR, but a high-probability continuation setup for short-term traders.
Part 2: US Indices – Demola Global
Indices covered: US30 (Dow), US100 (Nasdaq), S&P 500
Approach: Smart money concepts, liquidity zones, order blocks, fair value gaps (FVG), and fundamental context.
US30 – Strong Bullish Bias into August
Deal recapped a winning trade last week with 1:3 RR, though he regretted exiting early as the trade eventually hit 1:9.5 RR.
The market remains bullish, especially with US tariff news expected by August 1st.
If the news is positive, expect a continued rally; if not, prepare for volatility and a possible move into safe havens like Gold.
Watch for Key Breakout Zones
Short-term box pattern identified on US30. Price could tap into the zone and either drop or rally.
Deal is waiting for confirmation above two key layers before going long again.
US100 (Nasdaq) – Not Yet Ready
Though the daily trend is bullish, the 1H and 2H structures are unclear.
Traders are advised to wait for a clean break above key levels or a reaction from the 4H order block before entering.
S&P 500 – Leading the Charge
Unlike US100, S&P 500 already tapped its 4H order block and is pushing higher.
The team suggests US100 may follow this path soon, giving traders a heads-up to prepare long entries.
Key Takeaways
Structure + Confirmation = Safer Trades: Whether you’re trading forex or indices, always wait for structure + confirmation—especially on lower timeframes.
Set Alerts, Not Emotions: Mark your POIs, set alerts, and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
Sentiment is King on Wall Street: For indices, fundamentals (like Trump’s upcoming tariff statement) can override all technicals.
Fibonacci? Maybe. Fundamentals? Always: While fib levels are useful, Deal emphasized prioritizing market sentiment and macro context when trading US equities.
Upcoming Event – Traders Bootcamp Abuja (Aug 2, 2025)
We’re coming to Abuja this August for our annual Traders Bootcamp, and it’s going to be huge! Whether you’re new to trading or scaling up a trading business, this event will show you what it takes to build sustainably in today’s market.
Date: Saturday, August 2, 2025
Register: valueflowtrading.com/tbc
Replay & Resources
You can rewatch this session and more via our YouTube stream archive:
Value Flow Trading YouTube Channel
Stay profitable, stay patient.
Cheers and God bless!
– The VFT Market Colour Team